MARKET COMMENTARY - 09.09.2025
Crypto remains, “The Big Short”
BY LAMONTE SHOCKLEY
With the state of the US Economy in such an unpredictable pattern of chaos, there’s one area our firm is not taking a risk on and that’s bitcoin. We’ve seen its high’s and low’s, how moves and how it doesn’t.
However, the math about this market just doesn’t make sense. We will continue to build a sizable short position against the crypto currency with our excess capital. Ultimately, it has the characteristics of company that has no value outside the mind.
Yes, other companies have been created as a result of its popularity, but the moment the world has had enough, we believe it will die. Until that time comes, we will continue to short bitcoin as long as we see poor macro-economic conditions in the immediate future. Warning to our competitors, “Don’t fall.”
PRESS RELEASE - 09.05.2025
SIC pursues talent as it embraces a new era.
BY LAMONTE SHOCKLEY
It’s no secret that the market currently has an insatiable appetite A.I. where one has to question, “Is this even rational?” As I have stated to many of clients previously, the tech sector is really hard to understand in terms of value. It’s almost better for investor to ask the question, “Which of these companies has the endurance to remain anti-fragile?” Despite the need for a crystal ball to answer such a question, I have to say the reality of it all has opened up the door for amassing scores of human capital.
Hence, it appears we’re in the midst of a new era at Shockley Intellectual Capital. Most people think machines and technology are making things harder. On the contrary, SIC is aggressively and strategically acquiring talent, contracts, and physical assets to remodel the traditional “office”. In short, people are being let go and their talent goes with them. Our goals is to captures untapped potential in all forms.
Current acquisition targets include entertainment distribution houses, production studios, and good old fashion creators of snacks, candy and anything else mouthwatering delicious! We’re fighting back with human talent, not necessarily software. We have a lot of work to do, but the vision is clear. Anyone interested in joining our revolution is encouraged to apply for opportunities at SIC and visit our website as we rage war against the machine!
MARKET COMMENTARY - 08.17.2025
Exchange Traded
BY LAMONTE SHOCKLEY
According to investment research firm CFRA, almost 200 new US-listed single-stock ETF’s held over $34B in assets last quarter. In the past year alone the inflow showed a staggering $12.5B in new money entering the space. What we’re finding is that the ETF industry is becoming more complex than anyone previously had thought possible. However, it should also be noted that 132 out of the total 200 or so single-stock ETF universe from the past year had less than $50M in assets under management. As this growth expands what’s to come are an exponential growth in the options market. Yes, derivatives are back. Or as Warren Buffett has called them, “financial weapons of mass destruction.” Buyers beware.
MARKET COMMENTARY - 08.12.2025
Condo Slump Continues
BY LAMONTE SHOCKLEY
The condo market at one point in time was absolutely on fire. Major developers like, Don Peebles and the like in Miami had the entire globe fighting of that space between the sand and the sun. However, the last few weeks have not shown much promise as national prices fall and supply rises. Particularly hit hard has been the South. Exacerbating this market cooling off after almost a decade, poor weather plus inflation and higher interest rates have driven HOA and insurance costs to all-time highs.
Normally the data shows that when single-family home price start to fall, condo prices fall further. This trend is ever-so present in June’s numbers according to the National Association of Realtors. Moreover, condo prices usually sell at a premium to single-family homes and in 2021 saw that number at almost 60%. This June, we’re only around 30% even in high traffic affluent areas in big cities. In Florida, where 16% of all new real estate transactions include condos on average, we expect this number to fall considerably by the end of September.
MARKET COMMENTARY - 08.07.25
Buyer’s Market
BY LAMONTE SHOCKLEY
Based on the current market conditions my belief is that a buyer’s market is on the horizon. Austerity measures being put in place by the US government are an eye-sore on just about every news channel in town. Exacerbating the issue are geo-political pressures, lending slowing down, and benefactors of social programs complaining more and more. As the demand for necessities grow in the face of rising inflation, the US dollar also has less buying power.
Henceforth, those with cash-on-hand will in fact soon be in a position to efficiently take advantage wherever trouble presents itself. What’s different from past buyer’s markets? It’s my belief the only thing holding the economy together are lower than expected prices at the pump. The moment this changes, we see the entire global economy headed for an evitable fire-sale a lot sooner than most are probably prepared to handle.